2 it is the export custom duty that our country reachs goods to product of partial iron and steel is adjusted. Rolled steel of charcoal of its the part of the body cavity between the diaphragm and the umbilicus housing the spleen, ferroalloy, billet, part " specific power consumption pollution is tall, tall " the product leaves to ask for or raise exit tariff, the action of macroscopical adjusting control that waits for a respect with developing custom duty effectively to be balanced in stimulative commerce. To this, the individual thinks at present hot-rolling exports custom duty for 5% , if according to hot-rolling coils now dollar of export price 800-830 / ton (FOB) calculate, so although impose the custom duty of on 5% , its and home market price keep balance basically also; So, short-term in light of, exit motivation still stronger. Additional, the rigid demand of the international market will continue to maintain; As the United States sub borrow pair of whole world consequence to dropping stage by stage, economy restores to anticipate also value relatively, its demand strength can be increased further. The individual thinks, 8 years hot-rolling exit will emphasize particularly on a few rising markets, if southeast Asia reachs middle east area; In the meantime, steely production company also will take those who export channel seriously to build further. Coil 8 years so board export volume still will be maintained in a higher level, 10 thousand tons exit measures average 60-70 should can get maintenance.
So, change the look to the element such as supply and demand again; Look from level of supply and demand, what do not have market price case is big fall greatly condition. Nowadays, the heat of each district coils stocks is not very large, some areas still are in small stock position, later period is new the natural resources that puts in the market is limited. Accordingly, pressure of supply of later period market should not protruding shows. And demand side, the individual thinks the constant growth as cold rolling crop, downstream user is right at the same time of cold rolling product requirement increase, company of a lot of terminal makes cost to reduce previously, adopt " in order to heat up era cold " wait for means to have production, as product competition ability rise ceaselessly, consumptive group agrees with the ceaseless promotion of feeling to quality, later period can be increased ceaselessly to the dosage of cold rolling series, this is completely OK the supply pressure that growth of amortize hot-rolling output brings.
From the point of the manufacturing cost of steelworks, at present raw material price still resides iron and steel not to fall high, very strong, without dropping evidence. Contrary, the raw material price such as later period iron ore, coal, coke still will continue to climb litre, steelworks faces enormous cost pressure. Below this state, majority steelworks still will continue to move producer price. At present domestic hot-rolling producer price is in 5200 yuan generally / ton above, prop up market price case to move further thereby.
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