No matter the negotiation result of enterprise of final iron ore and steely company can form a few kinds of results finally, 2008 iron ore FOB of 65% go up should be its floor level.
Be like the negotiation result according to fresh water river valley, by countrywide steely crop and profit were calculated 2007, iron ore rises in price to affect industry profit about 165.5 billion yuan. 2007, steely entire industry realizes profit to make an appointment with 190 billion yuan, iron ore goes up a gain that eroded steely industry almost completely.
Nie Xiuxin points out researcher of restful negotiable securities, hypothesis is marine 2008 cost price is changeless, RMB add bay yuan with Leiyaer exchange rate appreciates 3% , consideration element that iron ore negotiation rises, price of entrance agreement mine will rise 28.5 dollars, be equivalent to price of every tons of rolled steel needing to rise 328 yuan of ability rise iron ore cost marry again goes out, this is equivalent to hot-rolling board rose in price 2007 7.6% , whorl steel rises in price 8.8% . And she predicts, 2008 of rolled steel price go up on average will be in 10% the left and right sides.
Announce in fresh water river valley after signing an agreement 3 days, on Feburary 21, the look forward to of more than 20 steel such as steel of Pan Gang, Lai, wine steel go up a variety of product producer price such as tone whorl steel, wire, hot-rolling board. Among them, the hot-rolling that involve steel board on moved 80 yuan, factory price achieves 5300 yuan / ton, and more than yuan 100 are moved on cold rolling board, had achieved 6100 yuan / ton; Wrap steel cold rolling to already went up move 400 yuan / ton, 500 yuan are moved on galvanization / ton, 300 yuan are moved on medium plate / ton; Lai steel heats up a producer price general to go up 220 yuan / ton, manganese coils go up 230 yuan / ton.
On Feburary 26, treasure steel share also was adjusted this year value of product of 2 quarters rolled steel, with compare first quarter, hot-rolling moves 800 yuan on main product / ton, cold rolling is main product and clement board go up generally move 800 yuan / ton, in addition, the price such as galvanization of colour besmear, report also has 500 yuan / ton reach 700 yuan / ton different rate rises.
Actually, treasure steel share announces rise in price extent was enclothed not only talk according to its and fresh water river valley decide go up a calculative cost amplitude, and exceeded the market to anticipate far. Just about accordingly, should go up on Feburary 25 card index falls greatly 4.07% when, the iron and steel that heads with Bao Gang expression exceeds an index. Just, does steely course of study exceed the expectant ability that raise price to you can be denied also need to close surely develop and force develop and their negotiation is opened rise in price space?
Previous12 Next